Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kapanen wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 45.9% vs Beniers 47.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 57.2%
Defensive zone
Beniers 53.4%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 56.4%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Kapanen
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kapanen
Beniers
Last 5: Kapanen 1-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Kapanen
Beniers
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Kapanen
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (82)
48.3% (1,050)
-8.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (105)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
43.6% (39)
+1.9%
On power play, Kapanen has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Kapanen is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Kapanen shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Beniers
Home
35.1% (37)
48.7% (630)
Away
45.6% (57)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Kapanen
Beniers
P1
37.0%
49.2%
P2
43.3%
45.0%
P3
43.2%
49.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |