Kasperi Kapanen vs Reese Johnson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Kapanen wins 35.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 40.5% vs Johnson 51.5% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 67.7%
Defensive zone
Johnson 91.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 70.6%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Kapanen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kapanen
Johnson
Last 5: Kapanen 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Kapanen
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (213)
53.5% (434)
-16.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
40.7% (81)
-6.6%
On power play, Johnson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kapanen is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Kapanen shoots right. Johnson is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Johnson
Home
39.7% (116)
50.8% (252)
Away
34.5% (142)
52.6% (268)
By Period
Kapanen
Johnson
P1
35.6%
52.1%
P2
34.1%
47.4%
P3
40.7%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
36.8%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |