Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 44.7% vs Johnson 52.1% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 58.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 83.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 70.3%
Result
Reese Johnson favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Kapanen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kapanen
Johnson
Last 5: Kapanen 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kapanen
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Kapanen
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (69)
55.4% (186)
-16.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (3)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
37.8% (37)
-0.3%
On power play, Johnson has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kapanen is 31.6% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Kapanen shoots right. Johnson is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Johnson
Home
47.4% (38)
51.6% (95)
Away
29.3% (41)
54.2% (131)
By Period
Kapanen
Johnson
P1
38.7%
46.7%
P2
31.0%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
58.9%
Final 5 min
36.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
38.0%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Kasperi Kapanen |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Reese Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Reese Johnson |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Kasperi Kapanen |