Scouting Report
Reese Johnson holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 45.7% vs Johnson 50.8% (-17.7%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 74.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.6%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kapanen
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (32)
56.9% (51)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.3% (30)
-10.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kapanen is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Kapanen shoots right. Johnson is 65.2% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Johnson
Home
33.3% (21)
56.3% (32)
Away
35.3% (17)
49.0% (49)
By Period
Kapanen
Johnson
P1
29.4%
55.6%
P2
45.5%
48.0%
P3
30.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
34.2%
Johnson
54.0%▲
51.0%
51.9%