Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.6% vs 41.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.3% vs Marner 42.7% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 51.7%
Defensive zone
Marner 54.3%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 51.0%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Kolesar
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (383)
41.7% (496)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
55.6% (18)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
35.4% (65)
-0.1%
On power play, Marner has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Kolesar is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Kolesar shoots right. Marner is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Marner
Home
38.0% (192)
38.0% (321)
Away
44.9% (214)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Kolesar
Marner
P1
42.1%
38.7%
P2
43.2%
41.5%
P3
38.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
41.6%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%