Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.0% vs 40.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 48.0% vs Marner 42.5% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Marner 58.7%
Defensive zone
Marner 70.6%
Neutral zone
Marner 58.3%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Kolesar
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (25)
40.8% (316)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Kolesar is 75.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Kolesar shoots right. Marner is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Marner
Home
33.3% (15)
36.0% (186)
Away
50.0% (10)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Kolesar
Marner
P1
53.8%
40.7%
P2
28.6%
41.0%
P3
20.0%
38.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
40.0%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%