Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 43.8% vs Marner 50.8% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 56.3%
Defensive zone
Marner 54.5%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 56.3%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Kolesar
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (170)
57.1% (7)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
54.5% (11)
-21.2%
On penalty kill, Marner has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Kolesar is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Kolesar shoots right. Marner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Marner
Home
38.0% (92)
44.4% (9)
Away
42.7% (96)
66.7% (9)
By Period
Kolesar
Marner
P1
41.0%
80.0%
P2
41.9%
44.4%
P3
37.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
38.0%▬
38.0%
40.4%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
55.6%