Keegan Kolesar vs Sam Steel

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Steel holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Kolesar 48.4% vs Steel 50.6% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone Kolesar 53.1%
Defensive zone Steel 66.8%
Neutral zone Steel 52.0%
Result Sam Steel favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Kolesar Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Kolesar
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (24)
52.5% (200)
-10.8%
On even strength, Steel has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Steel shoots left. Kolesar is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Kolesar shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Steel
Home
35.7% (14)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.0% (10)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Kolesar
Steel
P1
53.8%
49.5%
P2
28.6%
47.5%
P3
25.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%
38.0%
41.7%
Steel
50.0%
49.0%
50.8%