Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +24.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johnson wins 26.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 38.1% vs Eller 53.3% (-24.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 89.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 50.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 75.4%
Result
Kent Johnson favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Johnson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johnson
Eller
Last 6: Johnson 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Johnson
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Johnson
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
29.2% (130)
53.8% (865)
-24.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
57.1% (21)
-23.8%
On even strength, Eller has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Johnson is 26.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Johnson shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Johnson
Eller
Home
27.3% (55)
56.4% (486)
Away
31.0% (84)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Johnson
Eller
P1
22.2%
55.1%
P2
35.7%
55.3%
P3
31.4%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
31.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
29.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Kent Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |