Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Johnson wins 26.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 36.9% vs Eller 50.5% (-21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 90.3%
Defensive zone
Johnson 56.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 78.3%
Result
Kent Johnson favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Johnson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Johnson
Eller
Last 6: Johnson 1-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Johnson
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Johnson
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
28.3% (152)
51.1% (10,296)
-22.8%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
52.8% (621)
-15.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Johnson is 26.5% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Johnson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Johnson
Eller
Home
26.1% (69)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
31.3% (99)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Johnson
Eller
P1
20.4%
51.2%
P2
33.3%
50.1%
P3
33.9%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
30.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
36.0%▲
29.2%
29.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Kent Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 04:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |