Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudette wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 42.8% vs Hayes 50.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 83.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 72.8%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 74.0%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Gaudette
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Gaudette
Hayes
Last 6: Gaudette 0-6 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Gaudette
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Gaudette
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Gaudette
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (373)
51.3% (672)
-10.3%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
50.0% (78)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
40.8% (76)
+2.1%
On even strength, Hayes has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudette is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Gaudette shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Hayes
Home
46.0% (250)
52.0% (404)
Away
35.3% (204)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Gaudette
Hayes
P1
40.8%
50.7%
P2
42.8%
50.2%
P3
39.7%
49.8%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
41.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:27 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 07:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |