Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gallagher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gallagher wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gallagher 47.9% vs Hayes 50.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gallagher 83.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 86.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.7%
Result
Brendan Gallagher favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Gallagher
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gallagher
Hayes
Last 5: Gallagher 3-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gallagher
3
0
Gallagher
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Gallagher
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gallagher
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (107)
50.4% (850)
-5.5%
Power Play
49.3% (69)
56.4% (39)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.2% (223)
-0.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gallagher is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Gallagher shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Gallagher
Hayes
Home
52.8% (89)
50.0% (586)
Away
40.9% (93)
51.1% (526)
By Period
Gallagher
Hayes
P1
45.3%
52.3%
P2
49.2%
52.3%
P3
47.2%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gallagher
40.0%▼
44.5%
46.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Brendan Gallagher |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Brendan Gallagher |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Brendan Gallagher |