Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.0%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Hayes 49.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Staal
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Hayes
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
4
Staal
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
48.7% (394)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (58)
61.2% (49)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
34.3% (35)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Staal is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Staal shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Staal
Hayes
Home
51.7% (265)
50.6% (237)
Away
46.5% (282)
47.3% (241)
By Period
Staal
Hayes
P1
52.7%
43.9%
P2
48.3%
47.3%
P3
46.5%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |