Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.2% vs Hayes 50.2% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 69.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 69.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Spezza
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Spezza
Hayes
Last 6: Spezza 5-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
1
Spezza
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (346)
51.3% (672)
+1.3%
Power Play
61.0% (41)
50.0% (78)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
72.7% (11)
40.8% (76)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Spezza is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Spezza shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hayes
Home
56.0% (175)
52.0% (404)
Away
52.5% (223)
48.6% (422)
By Period
Spezza
Hayes
P1
56.8%
50.7%
P2
54.3%
50.2%
P3
50.8%
49.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |