Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Glendening 55.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 24-13 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 93.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 95.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 91.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Hayes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
24
(37 meetings)
13
24
Hayes
Glendening
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
3
Hayes
Glendening
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
2
14
Hayes
Glendening
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
7
Hayes
Glendening
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
57.9% (7,770)
-10.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
56.4% (195)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
48.6% (2,498)
-3.3%
On even strength, Glendening has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Home / Away
Hayes
Glendening
Home
48.1% (3,982)
55.4% (5,255)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
55.9% (5,208)
By Period
Hayes
Glendening
P1
47.5%
56.1%
P2
47.6%
54.5%
P3
47.9%
56.5%
OT
54.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 3, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |