Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Glendening 55.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.2%
Defensive zone
Glendening 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.1%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Hayes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hayes
Glendening
Last 6: Hayes 2-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
Hayes
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Hayes
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
58.3% (725)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
50.0% (8)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
48.4% (215)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Hayes
Glendening
Home
58.0% (405)
55.4% (469)
Away
56.1% (433)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Hayes
Glendening
P1
54.7%
53.5%
P2
55.7%
57.0%
P3
60.2%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
58.9%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |