Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Glendening 56.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 71.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.3%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Hayes
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayes
Glendening
Last 6: Hayes 3-3 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
3
Hayes
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
58.6% (703)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
57.9% (19)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
49.7% (159)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Hayes
Glendening
Home
50.5% (200)
54.3% (468)
Away
53.4% (253)
60.0% (413)
By Period
Hayes
Glendening
P1
58.8%
58.2%
P2
49.3%
57.6%
P3
48.0%
56.0%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |