Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Thompson 51.7% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 86.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 77.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Hayes
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hayes
Thompson
Last 5: Hayes 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
53.2% (380)
-17.8%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (16)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.5% (55)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Hayes shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Hayes
Thompson
Home
36.8% (212)
53.9% (243)
Away
34.9% (169)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Hayes
Thompson
P1
40.3%
46.9%
P2
31.1%
62.2%
P3
34.2%
47.5%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
29.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |