Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Thompson 54.3% (-12.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Hayes
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
55.5% (236)
-12.8%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
60.0% (5)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
56.5% (46)
-11.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Hayes
Thompson
Home
43.5% (232)
53.1% (128)
Away
42.4% (375)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Hayes
Thompson
P1
40.1%
59.0%
P2
44.8%
55.4%
P3
42.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%