Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Thompson 52.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Hayes
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Hayes
Thompson
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
2
Hayes
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
Hayes
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
6
Hayes
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
54.1% (5,812)
-6.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
54.8% (135)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
47.9% (1,381)
-2.5%
On even strength, Thompson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Hayes
Thompson
Home
48.1% (3,982)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Hayes
Thompson
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
52.9%
P3
47.9%
52.8%
OT
54.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |