Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Kapanen 47.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 70.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 68.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Hayes
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayes
Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
44.4% (45)
+7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
36.4% (11)
+16.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kapanen
Home
50.5% (200)
39.4% (33)
Away
53.4% (253)
47.8% (23)
By Period
Hayes
Kapanen
P1
58.8%
42.9%
P2
49.3%
40.0%
P3
48.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |