Scouting Report
Owen Beck holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Beck 53.7% (-22.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 78.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 76.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Hayes
Beck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hayes
Beck
Last 6: Hayes 1-5 Beck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beck
0
2
Hayes
Beck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beck
1
2
Hayes
Beck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beck
0
1
Hayes
Beck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Beck
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
58.7% (75)
-26.8%
On even strength, Beck has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beck shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Beck is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Hayes
Beck
Home
30.6% (49)
57.1% (49)
Away
40.4% (57)
61.5% (26)
By Period
Hayes
Beck
P1
22.9%
62.5%
P2
40.0%
52.0%
P3
44.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
30.4%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Beck
56.0%▬
56.4%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Owen Beck |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |