Scouting Report
Owen Beck holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beck on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Beck 53.5% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 72.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Hayes
Beck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hayes
Beck
Last 6: Hayes 1-5 Beck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beck
0
2
Hayes
Beck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beck
1
2
Hayes
Beck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beck
0
1
Hayes
Beck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Beck
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
56.4% (117)
-8.9%
On even strength, Beck has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beck shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Beck is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Hayes
Beck
Home
48.1% (3,982)
53.6% (69)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
60.4% (48)
By Period
Hayes
Beck
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
47.6%
56.1%
P3
47.9%
63.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Beck
56.0%▬
56.4%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Owen Beck |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Owen Beck |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |