Scouting Report
Rickard Rakell holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 33.2% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Rakell 47.1% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 51.1%
Defensive zone
Rakell 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rakell 76.0%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Hayes
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hayes
Rakell
Last 7: Hayes 4-3 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Rakell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
46.2% (608)
-9.1%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
51.9% (54)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Rakell has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hayes is 33.2% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Hayes shoots left. Rakell is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rakell
Home
36.7% (354)
49.3% (335)
Away
35.8% (327)
43.9% (330)
By Period
Hayes
Rakell
P1
33.6%
46.8%
P2
38.3%
45.0%
P3
37.0%
48.2%
Final 5 min
39.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |