Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Rakell 47.6% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 50.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Hayes
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
41.5% (41)
+10.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
66.7% (3)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+60.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Rakell is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rakell
Home
50.5% (200)
40.0% (15)
Away
53.4% (253)
43.3% (30)
By Period
Hayes
Rakell
P1
58.8%
40.0%
P2
49.3%
37.5%
P3
48.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
42.2%