Scouting Report
Rickard Rakell holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Rakell 48.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 74.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.1%
Neutral zone
Rakell 54.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Hayes
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Rakell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
45.3% (75)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (4)
-7.1%
On power play, Rakell has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Rakell is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rakell
Home
43.5% (232)
45.7% (46)
Away
42.4% (375)
45.5% (33)
By Period
Hayes
Rakell
P1
40.1%
33.3%
P2
44.8%
40.0%
P3
42.4%
63.6%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |