Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 17 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 29-28 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 52.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 64.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Hayes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
28
(57 meetings)
29
28
Hayes
Strome
Last 10: Hayes 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
7
10
Hayes
Strome
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
11
10
Hayes
Strome
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
11
8
Hayes
Strome
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
44.1% (6,839)
+3.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
49.3% (854)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
41.5% (410)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Hayes
Strome
Home
48.1% (3,982)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Hayes
Strome
P1
47.5%
44.0%
P2
47.6%
45.3%
P3
47.9%
44.3%
OT
54.1%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |