Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Strome 46.8% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 90.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 85.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Hayes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Hayes
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
46.4% (371)
+10.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
43.3% (97)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
55.6% (18)
+10.1%
On power play, Hayes has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Hayes
Strome
Home
58.0% (405)
47.6% (225)
Away
56.1% (433)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Hayes
Strome
P1
54.7%
45.4%
P2
55.7%
47.6%
P3
60.2%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |