Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Strome 42.3% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 76.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 76.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Hayes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayes
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
41.2% (1,040)
+10.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
43.0% (151)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
51.4% (35)
+8.6%
On even strength, Hayes has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Hayes
Strome
Home
50.5% (200)
40.1% (581)
Away
53.4% (253)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Hayes
Strome
P1
58.8%
41.4%
P2
49.3%
42.9%
P3
48.0%
40.5%
OT
66.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |