Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Strome 44.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 66.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 65.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 75.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Hayes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Hayes
Strome
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
5
Hayes
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
5
Hayes
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Hayes
Strome
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
41.9% (626)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
50.0% (76)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
51.2% (41)
-16.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Home / Away
Hayes
Strome
Home
50.6% (237)
40.8% (363)
Away
47.3% (241)
45.5% (380)
By Period
Hayes
Strome
P1
43.9%
43.0%
P2
47.3%
41.3%
P3
55.9%
45.9%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |