Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Laughton 49.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 54.4%
Defensive zone
Laughton 54.7%
Neutral zone
Laughton 54.9%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hayes
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayes
Laughton
Last 9: Hayes 4-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Laughton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Hayes
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
49.1% (761)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
49.3% (69)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
47.6% (147)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Hayes
Laughton
Home
58.0% (405)
50.7% (485)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Hayes
Laughton
P1
54.7%
46.5%
P2
55.7%
51.1%
P3
60.2%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | OT | 01:39 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:53 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |