Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Laughton 50.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.2%
Defensive zone
Laughton 53.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayes
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayes
Laughton
Last 5: Hayes 1-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Hayes
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Hayes
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Hayes
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
52.3% (398)
-0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
51.4% (37)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
41.3% (63)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Laughton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Hayes
Laughton
Home
50.5% (200)
51.2% (285)
Away
53.4% (253)
50.2% (213)
By Period
Hayes
Laughton
P1
58.8%
50.0%
P2
49.3%
55.9%
P3
48.0%
47.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |