Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 45 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 64-53 in 117 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 91.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 62.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 75.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
53
(117 meetings)
64
53
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
10
28
Hayes
Crosby
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
33
12
Hayes
Crosby
45 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
21
13
Hayes
Crosby
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
52.8% (17,990)
-5.3%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
47.1% (765)
-1.8%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
48.1% (3,982)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
47.5%
53.6%
P2
47.6%
53.9%
P3
47.9%
53.3%
OT
54.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |