Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Crosby 57.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 54.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 85.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Hayes
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Hayes
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
57.8% (1,437)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
60.9% (381)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
50.0% (54)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
58.0% (405)
59.2% (985)
Away
56.1% (433)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
54.7%
57.3%
P2
55.7%
59.5%
P3
60.2%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |