Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.7%
Defensive zone
Crosby 67.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Hayes
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
52.5% (1,443)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
54.7% (369)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
55.9% (34)
+2.4%
On even strength, Crosby has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
50.8% (313)
53.0% (931)
Away
48.2% (363)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
52.3%
50.3%
P2
47.7%
55.4%
P3
48.4%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |