Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.1% vs Crosby 53.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 53.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 60.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Hayes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Hayes
Crosby
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Hayes
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (394)
54.3% (996)
-5.6%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
53.5% (215)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
39.2% (51)
-4.9%
On power play, Hayes has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hayes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Hayes shoots left. Crosby is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Hayes
Crosby
Home
50.6% (237)
55.8% (615)
Away
47.3% (241)
51.5% (647)
By Period
Hayes
Crosby
P1
43.9%
58.7%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
55.9%
51.7%
OT
75.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |