Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 23-18 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 61.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 86.1%
Neutral zone
Blueger 72.5%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Hayes
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
18
(41 meetings)
23
18
Hayes
Blueger
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
14
3
Hayes
Blueger
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
13
Hayes
Blueger
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
2
Hayes
Blueger
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
52.3% (3,540)
-4.8%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
50.0% (76)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
42.6% (1,100)
+2.7%
On even strength, Blueger has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Hayes
Blueger
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Hayes
Blueger
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
47.6%
52.3%
P3
47.9%
48.5%
OT
54.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |