Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Blueger 52.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 69.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 60.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Hayes
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayes
Blueger
Last 8: Hayes 6-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Blueger
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
54.2% (590)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
71.4% (14)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
48.0% (177)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Hayes
Blueger
Home
58.0% (405)
53.2% (378)
Away
56.1% (433)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Hayes
Blueger
P1
54.7%
54.3%
P2
55.7%
56.7%
P3
60.2%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |