Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Blueger 52.7% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 67.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.4%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Hayes
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hayes
Blueger
Last 7: Hayes 3-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Hayes
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
53.9% (529)
-11.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
50.4% (137)
-5.2%
On even strength, Blueger has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Hayes
Blueger
Home
43.5% (232)
54.3% (335)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Hayes
Blueger
P1
40.1%
50.3%
P2
44.8%
55.2%
P3
42.4%
53.5%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:21 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |