Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Bozak 53.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 88.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 73.9%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Hayes
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Hayes
Bozak
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Hayes
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Bozak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
0
Hayes
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
53.6% (977)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
52.2% (186)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
100.0% (6)
-49.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hayes is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Hayes shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bozak
Home
50.0% (586)
55.4% (583)
Away
51.1% (526)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Hayes
Bozak
P1
52.3%
51.9%
P2
52.3%
51.1%
P3
47.3%
57.9%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |