Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 57.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Hayes
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
46.7% (338)
-4.0%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
32.6% (43)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bozak
Home
43.5% (232)
47.9% (194)
Away
42.4% (375)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Hayes
Bozak
P1
40.1%
40.2%
P2
44.8%
51.4%
P3
42.4%
43.1%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%