Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 27-23 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Hayes
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
27
(50 meetings)
23
27
Hayes
Bozak
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
5
12
Hayes
Bozak
17 total
Defensive Zone
Even
7
7
Hayes
Bozak
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
11
8
Hayes
Bozak
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
53.7% (9,596)
-6.2%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bozak
Home
48.1% (3,982)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Hayes
Bozak
P1
47.5%
53.2%
P2
47.6%
52.8%
P3
47.9%
54.5%
OT
54.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2020 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 23, 2017 | OT | 01:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |