Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Rask 54.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 93.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 75.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Hayes
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hayes
Rask
Last 7: Hayes 1-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
5
Hayes
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
54.5% (628)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
58.0% (88)
-1.6%
On even strength, Rask has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Hayes shoots left. Rask is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rask
Home
50.0% (586)
58.0% (355)
Away
51.1% (526)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Hayes
Rask
P1
52.3%
54.5%
P2
52.3%
56.3%
P3
47.3%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Victor Rask |