Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Rask 50.4% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Rask 59.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 57.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayes
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
50.6% (172)
-7.9%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (4)
-7.1%
On even strength, Rask has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rask
Home
43.5% (232)
53.7% (82)
Away
42.4% (375)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Hayes
Rask
P1
40.1%
56.0%
P2
44.8%
47.5%
P3
42.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%