Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Rask 50.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 25-18 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 75.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Hayes
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
25
(43 meetings)
18
25
Hayes
Rask
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
3
9
Hayes
Rask
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
7
4
Hayes
Rask
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
8
12
Hayes
Rask
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
50.0% (4,428)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
54.3% (363)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
35.2% (54)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Hayes
Rask
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Hayes
Rask
P1
47.5%
50.7%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
47.9%
50.7%
OT
54.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:54 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:42 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 13:25 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |