Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Eller 52.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 53.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Rooney
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rooney
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Rooney
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
2
1
Rooney
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
52.8% (742)
-4.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
67.6% (34)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
46.2% (156)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Rooney shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Rooney
Eller
Home
49.1% (112)
54.5% (448)
Away
43.8% (96)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Rooney
Eller
P1
40.0%
52.8%
P2
53.4%
50.9%
P3
46.7%
53.4%
Final 5 min
41.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |