Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Rooney wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Eller 50.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 56.8%
Defensive zone
Rooney 54.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Rooney
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Rooney
Eller
Last 10: Rooney 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
8
Rooney
Eller
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
6
3
Rooney
Eller
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
6
2
Rooney
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
51.1% (10,296)
-4.4%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
52.8% (621)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
46.7% (1,751)
-3.3%
On power play, Eller has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rooney is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,570).
Rooney shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Rooney
Eller
Home
47.4% (1,227)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Rooney
Eller
P1
48.1%
51.2%
P2
47.1%
50.1%
P3
43.6%
50.2%
OT
12.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 15:53 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |