Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 46.4% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rooney 82.5%
Defensive zone
Rooney 89.4%
Neutral zone
Rooney 85.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Rooney
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Rooney
Kastelic
Last 10: Rooney 3-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
3
0
Rooney
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Rooney
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
5
Rooney
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (2,042)
57.0% (1,613)
-10.3%
Power Play
41.7% (48)
80.0% (25)
-38.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (267)
53.6% (274)
-10.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Rooney is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (787).
Rooney shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Rooney
Kastelic
Home
47.4% (1,227)
58.9% (895)
Away
44.9% (1,130)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Rooney
Kastelic
P1
48.1%
58.5%
P2
47.1%
56.9%
P3
43.6%
55.3%
OT
12.5%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.7%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |