Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 45.8% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 76.4%
Defensive zone
Rooney 64.1%
Neutral zone
Rooney 69.1%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Rooney
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rooney
Kastelic
Last 9: Rooney 3-6 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
3
0
Rooney
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Rooney
Kastelic
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Rooney
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (367)
56.5% (115)
-11.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
100.0% (3)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
100.0% (2)
-64.3%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +64.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Rooney is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Rooney shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Rooney
Kastelic
Home
47.5% (219)
54.8% (73)
Away
41.6% (185)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Rooney
Kastelic
P1
46.4%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
62.5%
P3
42.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |