Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rooney wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 72.2%
Defensive zone
Rooney 72.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 74.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Rooney
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Rooney
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Rooney
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
55.4% (345)
-8.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
35.3% (17)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Rooney is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Rooney shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Rooney
Kastelic
Home
45.8% (203)
50.6% (162)
Away
48.6% (210)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Rooney
Kastelic
P1
47.2%
61.5%
P2
55.0%
52.8%
P3
37.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |